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Home: Statistics Portal >  Monthly Economic Indicators > More - Composite Leading Indicators > Manuals, Sources and Methods    Publications & Documents >  Manuals, Sources and Methods >  

Composite Leading Indicators
Publications & Documents

An Update of the OECD Composite Leading Indicators - December 2002

pdf,491Kb,English |  View long abstract

06-Dec-2002

The update outlined in this document ensures that the CLI calculation is based on more up-to- date chronologies of turning points. As a result, the trend estimation, which is a crucial element of the OECD methodology, will be strongly improved.

Comparison of compilation methodologies for the Composite Leading Indicators of Euro Area

pdf,152Kb,English |  View long abstract

01-Aug-2001

This paper compares two different methods to compile Euro area CLI: a method where Euro area CLI is compile directly from the Euro area components and a method where it is compiled by aggregating the CLIs of individual Member countries.

OECD Composite Leading indicators: a tool for short-term analysis

pdf,60Kb,French |  View long abstract

28-Jun-2001

The primary purpose of this document is to show how CLIs can be used in practice to predict economic turning points (peaks and troughs) and to assess the general behaviour of the economy.

Confidence Indicators and Composite Indicators

pdf,English |  View long abstract

01-Oct-2000

This paper looks into the construction of the economic sentiment indicators calculated b the European Commission (EC) and the composite leading indicators calculated by the OECD.

Recent Efforts to Meet Composite Leading Indicator User Needs.

pdf,English |  View long abstract

01-Oct-2000

Presentation of the recent developments regarding the use of the OECD Composite Leading Indicator.

Calculation of Composite Leading Indicators: A comparison of two different methods

pdf,77Kb,English |  View long abstract

01-Jun-2000

This study compares the German and the Japanese composite leading indicators using two methods of trend estimation and two methods of data normalisation.

Composite Leading Indicators: The 1994 Mexican Crisis: Were Signals Inadequate?

pdf,78Kb,English |  View long abstract

01-May-1997

The purpose of this article is to show that statistical data available at that time would have given discerning economists early signals of the crisis. More precisely, using a practical forecasting tool ...

An Update of OECD Leading Indicators for Germany, Norway and the United States

pdf,English |  View long abstract

01-Oct-1996

This study proposes an update of the Composite Leading Indicators for the United States, Germany and Norway. It also presents a new Composite Leading Indicator for Mexico.
Don't miss

Visualize business cycles

with the OECD business cycle clock

Statistics Brief N. 14, Feb. 2008

Predicting the Business Cycle: How good are early estimates of OECD Composite Leading Indicators?

The aim of this Journal is the exchange of knowledge and information on the theory and operation of business and economic cycle research.

OECD - CIRET Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis (JBCMA)

Editor's Choice

This is a practical manual on the design and implementation of business tendency surveys, on the interpretation of the results from such surveys and on their use for economic analysis and forecasting.

Business Tendency Surveys: A Handbook

MEI data on IMF Data Mapper®

The Joint IMF-OECD Statistics dataset combines selected data from IMF and OECD Main Economic Indicators (MEI) to provide data on a global scale for some key economic variables.

IMF Data Mapper®