Leading indicators and tendency surveys
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Understanding Composite Leading Indicators (CLI)
Watch our short video explaining how CLIs are compiled.
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CLI: Why does the trend restored CLI lag behind?
CLI FAQs, question 7: The reference series used by the OECD is the GDP. The timeliness of the GDP is typically worse than those of CLI input series as GDP is only available on a quarterly basis.
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CLI: Reference turning points and component series
Consult the chronology of turning points in the reference series for regional/zone area aggregates and individual countries and the list of components series for each individual country CLI.
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What's new
CLIs point to stable growth in most large OECD economies |
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OECD area: Stable growth |
9 Feb 2021 - The OECD Composite leading indicators (CLIs), designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, point to stable growth in most large OECD economies. The CLIs continue to signal stable growth in the United States, Japan and the euro area as a whole, including Germany, France and Italy. In Canada, the CLI now points to stabilising growth. The CLI for the United Kingdom still signals a slowdown. |
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Statistical references
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Further analysis |