Leading indicators and tendency surveys

CLIs point to a continued moderation in growth prior to the recent tightening of COVID-19 restrictions

OECD area: Moderating pace of growth

09/11/2020 - Even before the recent tightening of COVID-19 restrictions in many major economies, CLIs compiled for October 2020 pointed to a continued deceleration in the pace of improvement in the OECD as a whole and across most major economies.

Whilst some expectation of these recent measures will have been anticipated in this month’s CLI estimates, their full impact will only be picked-up in next month’s CLI estimates.

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Behind the numbers

• Statistical Insights
• Statistics Brief
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Statistical references 

• Business tendency surveys: a handbook
• OECD System of Composite Leading Indicators
• CLI and BTS Glossary
• CACIS software

Further analysis

• Interpreting CLIs
• Cycle extraction
• Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis 
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