Leading indicators and tendency surveys
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Understanding Composite Leading Indicators (CLI)
Watch our short video explaining how CLIs are compiled.
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CLI: Why does the trend restored CLI lag behind?
CLI FAQs, question 7: The reference series used by the OECD is the GDP. The timeliness of the GDP is typically worse than those of CLI input series as GDP is only available on a quarterly basis.
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CLI: Reference turning points and component series
Consult the chronology of turning points in the reference series for regional/zone area aggregates and individual countries and the list of components series for each individual country CLI.
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What's new
OECD CLIs begin to recover from crisis-lows but remain below long-term trends |
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OECD area: easing slowdown
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09/07/2020 - Composite leading indicators (CLIs) point to a significant improvement from the unprecedented slowdown reached at the height of the current crisis in April but the recovery remains fragile, as uncertainty persists around the possibility of future lockdowns. CLIs rebounded strongly in most OECD large economies, as restrictions related to Covid-19 have gradually eased and uncertainty reduced, but they remain below the levels recorded prior to the coronavirus outbreak and well below long-term trends. |
Behind the numbers |
Statistical references
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Further analysis |