Leading indicators and tendency surveys
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Understanding Composite Leading Indicators (CLI)
Watch our short video explaining how CLIs are compiled.
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CLI: Why does the trend restored CLI lag behind?
CLI FAQs, question 7: The reference series used by the OECD is the GDP. The timeliness of the GDP is typically worse than those of CLI input series as GDP is only available on a quarterly basis.
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CLI: Reference turning points and component series
Consult the chronology of turning points in the reference series for regional/zone area aggregates and individual countries and the list of components series for each individual country CLI.
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What's new
Confirmed signs of easing growth momentum in most major economies |
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Easing growth momentum in the OECD area
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14/01/2019 - Composite leading indicators (CLIs), designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend six to nine months ahead, continue to point to easing growth momentum in most major economies. In the United States and Germany, the tentative signs of easing growth momentum, that were flagged in last month’s assessment, have been confirmed with easing growth momentum remaining the assessment for Canada, the United Kingdom and the euro area as a whole, including France and Italy. |
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Statistical references
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Further analysis |