Publications

Long-run Trends in Car Use

In series:ITF Round Tablesview more titles

Published on December 23, 2013

Also available in: French

book

The growth of car use in several advanced economies has slowed down, stopped, or turned negative. The change can not be attributed to adverse economic conditions alone. Socio-demographic factors, including population ageing and changing patterns of education, working, and household composition matter. Rising urbanization and less car-oriented policies in some cities also reduce the growth of car use, perhaps combined with changing attitudes towards mobility. Some groups choose to use cars less, others are forced to.

This report summarizes insights into the drivers of change in car use. It shows that explanations are place-specific, and that projections of future car use are increasingly uncertain. The task for policy-makers is to identify mobility strategies that are robust under an increasingly wide range of plausible scenarios.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary
Are we heading towards a reversal of the trend for ever greater mobility?
Peak Travel, Peak Car and the Future of Mobility
Have Americans Hit Peak Travel?
New Driving Forces in Mobility
List of Participants
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