Monday 12 February
The first day will mainly look at trends and changes in OECD labour markets and reflect on their possible implications for the supply of higher education and tertiary education graduates in the future. It will discuss to what extent tertiary education graduates will be needed in diverse OECD countries and why. It will discuss quantitative and qualitative forecasts in selected OECD countries as well as its implied consequences in terms of educational attainment of the populations.The second day will look at the division of labour within tertiary education systems and speculate on how it could evolve or how a new organization of tertiary education could emerge in order to meet labour market changes.
9.30-10.30 : Session 1: Introduction, tour de table
During the tour de table, participants will be asked to identify what they consider as the 2 most important drivers of change for the future of higher education related to the labour market.
10.30-10.50: Coffee break
10.50-13.00: Session 2: Labour market changes: trends and prospects
This morning session will discuss some of the expected changes in OECD labour markets and in the workplace, following demographic change, technology advances, and further globalisation. What are the implications of these drivers for different OECD labour markets?
This session will try to differentiate between different types of labour markets and discuss expected changes in quantitative and qualitative terms at a general level.
14.00-16.00: Session 3: Returns of tertiary education to graduates: trends and prospects
This session will follow the morning discussion by focusing on the transition of tertiary education graduates in the labour market and on the associated economic returns. It will discuss related trends and prospects. It will focus on the issues of possible over-education and the possible mismatches between labour market demand and graduate supply in different contexts. This discussion is important to see whether there will still be high incentives for individuals to invest in higher education, what kinds of returns they can expect in different contexts and prepare the discussion of how tertiary education systems should adapt to labour market demand in the future.
16.00-16.20: Coffee break
16.20-17.30: Session 4: Responsiveness of tertiary education institutions and systems
This session will focus on the inter-linkages between tertiary education and the labour market and reflect on what could change the links between the two in the future.
17.30-18.00: Session 5: Conclusion of the first day
Maria Jesus San Segundo, former Minister of education of Spain, will wrap up and react to the first day of the meeting and set some future challenges from a policy-making perspective.
Tuesday 13 February
9.30-11.30: Session 6: Strengthening the links between higher education and tertiary education: the division of labour within tertiary education systems
The morning session will concentrate on trends within tertiary education to strengthen its links with labour market outcomes while pursuing its other missions (research, academic training, etc.). This session will discuss how different countries and systems have tried to make their system more responsive to their labour market, give an assessment of the results, and speculate on how this might change in the future, especially in the context of globalisation (or harmonisation processes like the Bologna process in Europe). An emphasis will be given to the division of labour between institutions within a system, but other aspects of higher education (governance, teaching style, study paths, alternate periods of work and study, etc.) can also be important. The discussion will be launched by country specific examples.
Brief presentations will alternate with discussion during the morning: Tom Bailey (USA), Peder Michael Sørensen (Denmark), Moon Hee Kim (Korea), Daniel Munich (Czech Republic), Caítriona Ryan (Ireland)11.30-11.45: Coffee
11.45-13.00: Session 6: Strengthening the links between higher education and tertiary education: the division of labour within tertiary education systems (continued)
14.00-15.20: Session 7: The changing labour market and the future of higher education: Scenarios (breakout session)
This session will be introduced by Henno Theisens (OECD). The group will split in two sub-groups to imagine how changes within the labour market could impact on higher education systems. The groups will imagine 2 to 4 scenarios.
15.20-16.00: Session 7: Report back session
The group will resume in plenary and present and Scenarios .
16.00-16.30: Session 8: Conclusion
This last session will aim at consolidating the main results of the meeting and identify areas for further research for the higher education project and provide feedback on the Secretariat’s current set of scenarios.
End of the meeting: 16.30