What Drives the NAIRU? Evidence from a Panel of OECD Countries

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17-Nov-2008

Christian Gianella, Isabell Koske, Elena Rusticelli and Olivier Chatal

This paper analyses the determinants of structural unemployment rates in a two-stage approach.

Short-term distributional effects of structural reforms: selected simulations in a DGSE framework

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29-Oct-2008

Annabelle Mourougane and Lukas Vogel

This paper examines the short-term distributional effects of a number of tax and labour market reforms in the euro area, drawing on simulations using a micro-founded dynamic general equilibrium model.

Speed of adjustment to selected labour market and tax reforms

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29-Oct-2008

Annabelle Mourougane and Lukas Vogel

This paper examines the nature and the length of economic adjustments to selected structural reforms, drawing on a variety of approaches: descriptive analysis and simulations using Dynamic General Equilibrium and macro-economic neo-Keynesian models.

Estimating a supply block for Poland

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02-Apr-2008

Rafal Kierzenkowski, Patrice Ollivaud, Franck Sédillot and Philippe Briard

The supply side framework and related measures of output and unemployment gaps play a leading role in the OECD analysis of short term conjunctural conditions and long term determinants of growth. This paper develops a comprehensive supply block in accordance with the OECD approach.

Monetary policy and macroeconomic stability in Latin America: the cases of Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico

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22-Feb-2007

Luiz de Mello and Diego Moccero

This paper tests whether inflation targeting and floating exchange rates have reduced macroeconomic volatility in Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico.  Economics Department Working Paper 545.

Globalisation and inflation in the OECD economies

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29-Nov-2006

Nigel Pain, Isabell Koske and Marte Sollie

Is globalisation placing downward pressure on consumer prices in the OECD countries? Economics Department Working Paper 524.

Forecasting monthly GDP for Canada

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21-Sep-2006

Annabelle Mourougane

The objective of this paper is to develop a short term indicator based model to predict quarterly GDP in Canada by efficiently exploiting all available monthly information. Economics Department Working Paper 515.

Are house prices nearing a peak? A probit analysis for 17 OECD countries

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08-Jun-2006

Paul van den Noord

What is the probability that the ongoing upswing in housing markets, the longest of its kind since the 1970s, will peak?  Economics Department Working Paper 488.

New OECD methods for supply-side and medium-term assessments: a capital services approach

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06-Mar-2006

Pierre-Olivier Beffy, Patrice Ollivaud, Pete Richardson and Franck Sédillot

This paper describes a number of recent changes and improvements in the methods used in estimating potential output for OECD countries and the systems in which they are used, notably for the production of medium-term economic scenarios. Economics Department Working Paper 482.

EO 84 to be released 25 November 2008

Issue No. 83