Publications & Documents


  • 9-August-2012

    English

    Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, August 2012

    Composite leading indicators (CLIs) continue to point to an easing of economic activity in most major OECD economies and slowdowns in most major non-OECD economies.

  • 30-July-2012

    English

    Avoiding debt traps: financial backstops and structural reforms

    In this paper we develop a simple analytical framework to analyze “good” and “bad equilibria” in public-debt and growth dynamics.

  • 30-July-2012

    English

    Measuring GDP forecast uncertainty using quantile regressions

    Uncertainty is inherent to forecasting and assessing the uncertainty surrounding a point forecast is as important as the forecast itself.

  • 30-July-2012

    English

    Implications of output gap uncertainty in times of crisis

    This paper analyses the monetary and fiscal policy implications of output gap estimates in times of crisis. The widening of output gaps observed in major OECD economies in the wake of the recent crisis has been mainly due to total factor productivity gaps, except in the United States where it essentially resulted from a large increase in the unemployment gap.

  • 30-July-2012

    English

    Sluggish productivity growth in Denmark: the usual suspects?

    Despite sound policies and institutions, Danish productivity has grown modestly over the past decade, both historically and in relation to other countries, contributing to weak economic growth and an erosion in competitiveness.

    Related Documents
  • 30-July-2012

    English

    Towards green growth in Denmark: improving energy and climate change policies

    Denmark’s green growth strategy focuses on moving the energy system away from fossil fuels and investing in green technologies, while limiting greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

    Related Documents
  • 27-July-2012

    English

    Non-parametric stochastic simulations to investigate uncertainty around the OECD indicator model forecasts

    The forecasting uncertainty around point macroeconomic forecasts is usually measured by the historical performance of the forecasting model, using measures such as root mean squared forecasting errors (RMSE).

  • 9-July-2012

    English

    Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, July 2012

    Composite leading indicators (CLIs) point to an easing of economic activity in most major OECD economies and a more marked slowdown in most major non-OECD economies.

  • 6-July-2012

    English

    Avoiding debt traps: financial backstops and structural reforms

    In this paper we develop a simple analytical framework to analyze “good” and “bad equilibria” in public-debt and growth dynamics.

  • 5-July-2012

    English

    Quarterly National Accounts - Contributions to GDP growth - First quarter 2012, OECD

    Real GDP growth in the OECD area increased by 0.4% in the first quarter of 2012, compared with 0.3% growth in the previous quarter.

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