Publications & Documents


  • 27-July-2012

    English

    Non-parametric stochastic simulations to investigate uncertainty around the OECD indicator model forecasts

    The forecasting uncertainty around point macroeconomic forecasts is usually measured by the historical performance of the forecasting model, using measures such as root mean squared forecasting errors (RMSE).

  • 9-July-2012

    English

    Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, July 2012

    Composite leading indicators (CLIs) point to an easing of economic activity in most major OECD economies and a more marked slowdown in most major non-OECD economies.

  • 6-July-2012

    English

    Avoiding debt traps: financial backstops and structural reforms

    In this paper we develop a simple analytical framework to analyze “good” and “bad equilibria” in public-debt and growth dynamics.

  • 5-July-2012

    English

    Quarterly National Accounts - Contributions to GDP growth - First quarter 2012, OECD

    Real GDP growth in the OECD area increased by 0.4% in the first quarter of 2012, compared with 0.3% growth in the previous quarter.

  • 2-July-2012

    English

    Europe's new fiscal rules

    Europe is putting in place a new system of fiscal rules following the euro area sovereign debt crisis and decades of rising government to debt-to-GDP ratios. These include the so-called "six pack" to upgrade the Stability and Growth Pact to a new Treaty incorporating the "fiscal compact".

  • 2-July-2012

    English

    An analysis of productivity performance in Spain before and during the crisis: Exploring the role of institutions

    The Spanish economy experienced significantly weaker labour productivity growth than other OECD economies and failed to catch up with the most advanced economies in the period 1996-2007. In recent years labour productivity growth has accelerated, but this recovery is likely to be due to cyclical and temporary factors.

  • 27-June-2012

    English

    Economy: The United States needs to foster education and innovation to keep its cutting edge

    The United States should do more to foster innovation and provide more equitable access to high-quality education in order to maintain its status as the world's most vibrant and productive economy, according to OECD's latest Economic Survey of the United States.

  • 22-June-2012

    English

    International capital mobility and financial fragility: Part 6. Are all forms of financial integration equally risky in times of financial turmoil? Asset price contagion during the global financial crisis

    Using the 2008-09 global financial crisis, this paper examines the role of different forms of international financial integration for asset price contagion in crisis times.

  • 22-June-2012

    English

    International capital mobility and financial fragility: Part 7. Enhancing Financial Stability: Country-specific evidence on Financial Account and Structural Policy Positions

    This paper brings together the results from new empirical analysis on how – under international capital mobility – financial account structure and structural policies can contribute to financial stability.

  • 21-June-2012

    English

    The OECD and G20 Structural Reform Commitments

    On the request of the G20, the OECD, in co-operation with other international organisations, provides technical analysis to help evaluate the appropriateness of the reforms nominated by countries, and the progress towards implementing those reforms.

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