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G20 countries are taking action to lift growth in the world economy. Will their commitments be enough?
“Life is full of alternatives but no choice.” G20 leaders at the summit in Brisbane, Australia, in November should reflect on these words by Australian writer Patrick White, a Nobel Laureate, as they prepare their economic strategies for the years to come.
The G20 needs to go structural, social, and green! With fiscal and monetary policy room nearly exhausted, structural reforms are the best choices, sometimes the only choice. The OECD battle cry in this regard has been unchanged since 2008: “go structural!”.
While the outlook for many OECD countries remains subdued, Emerging Asia is set for healthy growth over the medium term. Annual GDP growth for the ASEAN -10, China and India is forecast to average 6.5% over 2015-19. Growth momentum remains robust in the 10 ASEAN countries, with economic growth averaging 5.6% over 2015-19.
Composite leading indicators point to continued weak growth in Europe and to stable growth in most other major economies
Because the OECD is not only a “Global Standard Setter and a house for best practices”. It is also a pathfinder for effective implementation and we will be very proud to share our experience and expertise with APEC member economies and their business circles to develop innovative ideas and practical tools for competitive economies and inclusive societies!
We are here today to provide you with a brief snapshot of our forthcoming Economic Outlook. The complete Outlook will be finalised for a release on the 25th of November, but we would like to share with you our main views ahead of the G20 Summit next week in Brisbane.
The global economy remains stuck in low gear, but is expected to accelerate gradually if countries implement growth-supportive policies. Widening differences across countries and regions are adding to the major risks on the horizon, according to the advanced G20 release of the OECD’s latest Economic Outlook.
Structural reforms are key to achieving stronger, more inclusive and sustainable growth. Reforming the public sector together with transport infrastructures, skills and innovation policies would help raise growth and reduce regional inequality.
In the past year, Slovakia has made considerable progress in recovering its economic dynamism. GDP is set to grow by 2.6% in 2014 and 2.8% in 2015, double the rate of 2013. We estimate that the rate of economic expansion will increase further in 2016 to reach 3.4%. Slovakia’s real GDP per capita is now further ahead of pre-crisis levels – than in any other Eurozone country.