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  • 1-June-2016

    English

    Global Economic Outlook, June 2016

    In this Economic Outlook the global economy is set to grow by only 3.3 per cent in 2017. Continuing the cycle of forecast optimism followed by disappointment, global growth has been marked down, by some 0.3 per cent, for 2016 and 2017 since the November Outlook.

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  • 1-June-2016

    English, PDF, 229kb

    EO99 Promoting productivity and equality: a twin challenge

    EO99 Promoting productivity and equality: a twin challenge

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  • 1-June-2016

    English, PDF, 44kb

    EO99 - Editorial (PDF)

    EO99 - Editorial (PDF)

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  • 1-June-2016

    English, PDF, 33kb

    EO99 summary of projections

    EO99 summary of projections

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  • 1-June-2016

    English, PDF, 477kb

    EO99 General assessment of the macroeconomic situation - June 2016

    General assessment of the macroeconomic situation

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  • 24-May-2016

    English

    Can we improve real-time estimates of the output gap for policy purposes?

    The output gap ought to be a key input in short-term policy-making because it provides a summary measure of economic slack, so allowing policy-makers to anticipate inflationary pressures. It can also be used to estimate cyclically-adjusted measures of the fiscal balance, to provide a better assessment of fiscal sustainability.

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  • 28-April-2016

    English

    Quantifying the effects of trade liberalisation in Brazil: a CGE simulation

    Brazil remains a fairly closed economy, with small trade flows relative to its share of world income. This paper explores the effects of three possible policy reforms to strengthen Brazil’s integration into global trade: a reduction in import tariffs, less local content requirements and a full zero-rating of exports in indirect taxes.

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  • 28-April-2016

    English

    An investigation into improving the real-time reliability of OECD output gap estimates

    Estimates of the output gap ought to be a useful guide for macroeconomic policy, both for assessing inflationary pressures and fiscal sustainability, but their reliability has been called into question by the large revisions which they are often subject to, particularly around turning points.

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  • 5-April-2016

    English

    Economic Survey of Germany 2016

    Germany is achieving good labour market outcomes and the recently introduced minimum wage has improved the situation of low wage earners. Main challenges are subdued investment, population ageing as well as the employability of refugees. Strengthening entrepreneurship and competition would boost investment. Policies could do more to help parents to reconcile professional and family obligations.

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  • 18-February-2016

    English

    Interim Global Economic Outlook Assessment, February 2016

    Global GDP growth in 2016 is projected to be no higher than in 2015, itself the slowest pace in the past five years. Forecasts have again been revised down in light of disappointing recent data.

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