Latest Documents


  • 17-October-2014

    English

    Investment gaps after the crisis

    The downturn in fixed investment among advanced economies from the onset of the global crisis was unusually severe, widespread and long-lasting relative to comparable episodes in the past. As a result, investment gaps are large in many countries, not only in relation to past norms but also relative to projected future steady-state levels, with a gap of 2 percentage points of GDP or more in several countries.

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  • 2-July-2014

    English

    An update of the OECD international trade equations

    This paper provides a detailed description of recent research to re-estimate and re-specify the international trade volume and price equations that are used in the OECD Economics Department to analyse and project international trade developments.

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  • 13-May-2014

    English

    Economic Survey of Germany 2014

    Building on the success of past reforms, Germany should continue to further wellbeing by improving financial sector resilience, strengthening productivity in services and making economic growth more inclusive and green.

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  • 6-May-2014

    English, PDF, 564kb

    Growth prospects and fiscal requirements over the long-term

    The composition of global output will continue to shift towards emerging economies as well as towards Asia; the combined GDP of China and India was 33% of that of the OECD in 2010 (on a PPP basis), but is expected to rise to 73% by 2060.

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  • 6-May-2014

    English

    Global economy strengthening but significant risks remain, says OECD in latest Economic Outlook

    The global economy will strengthen over the coming two years, but urgent action is still required to further reduce unemployment and address other legacies from the crisis, according to the OECD’s latest Economic Outlook.

  • 22-April-2014

    English

    New evidence on the determinants of industrial specialisation

    Industrial specialization has important implications for economic performance; therefore, understanding its determinants is of key policy relevance.

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  • 22-April-2014

    English

    Economic growth from the household perspective: GDP and income distribution developments across OECD countries

    This paper provides an assessment of how households’ income has fared compared with GDP. While the prime focus is on incomes around the median, attention is paid also to the bottom of the income distribution.

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  • 3-April-2014

    English

    Short-term indicator models for quarterly GDP growth in the BRIICS: a small-scale bridge model approach

    This paper extends the OECD Economics Department’s suite of short-term indicator models for quarterly GDP growth, which currently cover only the G7 countries, to the BRIICS countries.

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  • 24-March-2014

    English

    OECD forecasts during and after the financial crisis: a post mortem

    This paper assesses the OECD’s projections for GDP growth and inflation during the global financial crisis and recovery, focussing on lessons that can be learned.

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  • 11-March-2014

    English

    OECD forecasts during and after the financial crisis: a post mortem

    This note discusses OECD forecast performance over the period 2007 12. It focuses on the lessons that can be learned from cross-country differences in growth forecast errors and the changes to forecasting models and procedures that have been prompted by the experience of the crisis.

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