Latest Documents


  • 6-May-2014

    English, PDF, 564kb

    Growth prospects and fiscal requirements over the long-term

    The composition of global output will continue to shift towards emerging economies as well as towards Asia; the combined GDP of China and India was 33% of that of the OECD in 2010 (on a PPP basis), but is expected to rise to 73% by 2060.

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  • 6-May-2014

    English

    Global economy strengthening but significant risks remain, says OECD in latest Economic Outlook

    The global economy will strengthen over the coming two years, but urgent action is still required to further reduce unemployment and address other legacies from the crisis, according to the OECD’s latest Economic Outlook.

  • 22-April-2014

    English

    New evidence on the determinants of industrial specialisation

    Industrial specialization has important implications for economic performance; therefore, understanding its determinants is of key policy relevance.

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  • 22-April-2014

    English

    Economic growth from the household perspective: GDP and income distribution developments across OECD countries

    This paper provides an assessment of how households’ income has fared compared with GDP. While the prime focus is on incomes around the median, attention is paid also to the bottom of the income distribution.

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  • 3-April-2014

    English

    Short-term indicator models for quarterly GDP growth in the BRIICS: a small-scale bridge model approach

    This paper extends the OECD Economics Department’s suite of short-term indicator models for quarterly GDP growth, which currently cover only the G7 countries, to the BRIICS countries.

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  • 24-March-2014

    English

    OECD forecasts during and after the financial crisis: a post mortem

    This paper assesses the OECD’s projections for GDP growth and inflation during the global financial crisis and recovery, focussing on lessons that can be learned.

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  • 11-March-2014

    English

    OECD forecasts during and after the financial crisis: a post mortem

    This note discusses OECD forecast performance over the period 2007 12. It focuses on the lessons that can be learned from cross-country differences in growth forecast errors and the changes to forecasting models and procedures that have been prompted by the experience of the crisis.

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  • 21-February-2014

    English

  • 11-February-2014

    English, PDF, 316kb

    OECD forecasts during and after the financial crisis: a Post Mortem (pdf)

    This note discusses OECD forecast performance over the period 2007 12. It focuses on the lessons that can be learned from cross-country differences in growth forecast errors and the changes to forecasting models and procedures that have been prompted by the experience of the crisis.

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  • 11-February-2014

    English

    Economic crisis provides lessons for new approaches to forecasting, says OECD

    Extreme volatility during the global financial crisis complicated economic forecasting, leading to large errors that underline the need for better modelling methods and new approaches for making and presenting projections.

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