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Higher oil prices and the prospect of higher borrowing costs are likely to reduce the productive potential of OECD economies. The present study provides illustrative numerical estimates of the impact under different scenarios using a stylised model based on a production function.
The global crisis exposed weaknesses in the Hungarian financial system that pose risks to financial stability, as discussed in this working paper.
Monetary policy and inflation prospects are broadly sound in Israel, but significant challenges remain for fiscal policy in reducing public debt, as discussed in this working paper.
William White, Chair, OECD Economic and Development Review Committee on tackling imbalances and avoiding another crisis.
The deep scars of the crisis can be relieved through appropriate policy action, particularly in competition, jobs, taxes and financial services. This would bolster long-term growth too.
Bayesian Model Averaging techniques are used to analyse how robustly it is possible to identify factors that may lead to the bursting of asset price bubbles in OECD economies.
English, , 70kb
OECD's recommendations on how to decide on appropriate policy in the face of an economic disturbance.
English, , 586kb
Special Chapter from Economic Outlook 87, May 2010
Speaking at a conference in Berlin, Angel Gurría says that a new architecture of financial reform together with sustainable fiscal consolidation strategies, structural reforms and efforts to explore new sources of growth will be essential to build a stronger, cleaner and fairer world economy.
The future growth path in Luxembourg is likely to be weaker than in the past. Pension reform, together with fiscal consolidation, is required to put the public finances on a sustainable footing, while adaptability of the labour market need to be improved.