Economy

Joint OECD and ESRI workshop: Long-term prospects of the world economy up to 2060 and their policy implications

 

Logo ESRI

 

 

 

Paris, 31 January 2014, Auditorium, OECD Conference Centre, Paris

 

14:00-14:40

Opening remarks and keynote

 Opening remarks

  • Jean-Luc Schneider, Director, Policy Studies Branch, OECD. 
  • Nobuki Sugita, Advisor of ESRI

 Keynote address    

14:40-18:00

Sessions

 Chair: Giuseppe Nicoletti, Head of Structural Policy Analysis Division, OECD

14:40-14:50

Session 1. Long-term challenges and policy responses in an interconnected global   economy: the OECD view

Providing background to the discussion: Henrik Braconier, OECD, Policies for a shifting world

14:50-15:30

Panel discussion: Romain Duval, Head of the Regional Studies Division of the Asia Pacific Department, IMF, Long-term growth prospects of the world economy and policy implications; André Sapir, Professor of Economics at Université Libre de Bruxelles, Long Term Challenges and Policy Perspectives in an Interconnected Global Economy

15:30-15:45

Coffee break

15:45-17:00

Session 2. The demographic and fiscal challenges

15:45-15:55

Ageing, active lives and growth

Providing background to the discussion: Asa Johansson, OECD, Impact of ageing on long-run growth

 

15:55-16:05

The future of health spending

Providing background to the discussion: Joaquim Oliveira Martins, OECD, The future of health spending

16:05-16:15

Fiscal consolidation paths  

Providing background to the discussion: David Turner, OECD, Fiscal consolidation paths

 

16:15-17:00

Panel discussion: Jean-Philippe Cotis, Chief Economist, BNP, Presentation;  Axel Börsch-Supan, Director, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging, Growth and Demographic Change in Europe; Robert Chote, Chairman of the Office for Budget Responsibility, United Kingdom, Ageing, health spending and the long-term fiscal outlook: a UK perspective

17:00-17:10

Session 3. Long-term trade and specialization patterns

Providing background to the discussion: Eduardo Olaberria, OECD, Trade and specialisation towards 2060: patterns and policy challenges

17:10-17:35

Panel discussion: Sébastien Jean, Director, CEPII; Marion Jansen, Counsellor, Economic Research and Statistics Division of the World Trade Organization, Long-term trade and specialization patterns - socioeconomic impacts and challenges

17:35-18:00

General discussion

18:00

Cocktail reception (Château, Room Roger Ockrent)

 

Background Documents

Long-term growth scenarios,  OECD Economics Department Working Paper No.1000.

A projection method for public health and long-term care expendituresOECD Economics Department Working Paper No.1048.

Growth Prospects and Fiscal Requirements over the Long Term, OECD Economic Outlook No. 93

Contact

- For more information on the Workshop, please contact eduardo.olaberria@oecd.org
- For logistical information, please contact sarah.michelson@oecd.org

Links

Looking to 2060: Long-term growth prospects for the world