|Real GDP growth is projected to rise as exports gather momentum and consumption continues to grow steadily, even though private residential investment will slow. Job creation will gradually bring unemployment down, against the background of an expanding labour force. The more accommodative stance taken by the Riksbank since mid-2014 and gradually shrinking slack should help push up inflation.
Monetary and fiscal policies need to remain supportive for some time. Tackling rigid employment protection and gaps in activation policies for disadvantaged groups would foster a stronger and more inclusive recovery. Household debt needs close monitoring and housing market rigidities should be reduced to increase supply.
Note: All data definitions based on internationally comparable standards and may differ in specific cases from common national definitions.