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The economy is projected to continue its strong expansion in 2018, growing at 5% in 2018 and nearly 4% in 2019. Private consumption will be boosted by strong real income growth from the buoyant labour market. Favourable financial conditions and EU structural funds will underpin business and public infrastructure investment. Exports will decelerate as higher wages undermine external competitiveness. Imports will be bolstered by higher domestic demand and tighter capacity constraints.
The fiscal stance is projected to remain expansionary, even though rapid growth will secure a higher budget surplus. Nonetheless, a still higher surplus is needed to contain inflationary pressures as monetary conditions will remain highly accommodative. In addition, greater privatisation efforts would boost jobs and growth.
Economic Survey of Slovenia (survey page)