Working Papers


  • 16-April-2018

    English

    Investment as a transmission mechanism from weak demand to weak supply and the post-crisis productivity slowdown

    Current weak labour productivity growth in many OECD countries reflects historically weak contributions from both total factor productivity (TFP) growth and capital deepening.

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  • 23-February-2018

    English

    Saving, investment, capital stock and current account projections in long-term scenarios

    The paper describes the framework used in long-term economic scenarios for the projection of the saving rate, investment, capital stock and current account.

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  • 21-November-2017

    English

    Designing fan charts for GDP growth forecasts to better reflect downturn risks

    Forecasts of GDP growth are typically over-optimistic for horizons beyond the current year, particularly because they fail to predict the occurrence or severity of future downturns.

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  • 7-April-2017

    English

    Decentralisation to promote regional development in Indonesia

    In 1998 Indonesia embarked on an ambitious course of decentralisation. Over a period of a few years, facilitated by financial transfers from the central government, responsibility for many public services and administrative tasks were devolved to local authorities.

  • 11-January-2017

    English

    Malaysia’s economic success story and challenges

    Malaysia has sustained over four decades of rapid, inclusive growth, reducing its dependence on agriculture and commodity exports to become a more diversified, modern and open economy.

  • 11-January-2017

    English, PDF, 3,687kb

    Malaysia’s economic success story and challenges

    Malaysia has sustained over four decades of rapid, inclusive growth, reducing its dependence on agriculture and commodity exports to become a more diversified, modern and open economy.

  • 15-November-2016

    English

    Can reforms promoting growth increase financial fragility? An empirical assessment

    Certain growth-promoting policies can have negative side-effects by increasing the vulnerability of economies to financial crises. Typical examples are greater openness to financial flows or more liberalised financial markets.

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  • 15-November-2016

    English

    How do policies influence GDP tail risks?

    This paper explores the relationship between policy settings and extreme positive and negative growth events, what we call GDP tail risks, using quantile regression methods.

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  • 15-November-2016

    English, PDF, 1,340kb

    Can reforms promoting growth increase financial fragility? An empirical assessment

    Certain growth-promoting policies can have negative side-effects by increasing the vulnerability of economies to financial crises. Typical examples are greater openness to financial flows or more liberalised financial markets.

    Related Documents
  • 15-November-2016

    English, PDF, 1,325kb

    How do policies influence GDP tail risks?

    This paper explores the relationship between policy settings and extreme positive and negative growth events, what we call GDP tail risks, using quantile regression methods.

    Related Documents
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