Latest Documents


  • 24-March-2014

    English

    OECD forecasts during and after the financial crisis: a post mortem

    This paper assesses the OECD’s projections for GDP growth and inflation during the global financial crisis and recovery, focussing on lessons that can be learned.

  • 11-March-2014

    English

    OECD forecasts during and after the financial crisis: a post mortem

    This note discusses OECD forecast performance over the period 2007 12. It focuses on the lessons that can be learned from cross-country differences in growth forecast errors and the changes to forecasting models and procedures that have been prompted by the experience of the crisis.

  • 21-February-2014

    English

  • 11-February-2014

    English, PDF, 316kb

    OECD forecasts during and after the financial crisis: a Post Mortem (pdf)

    This note discusses OECD forecast performance over the period 2007 12. It focuses on the lessons that can be learned from cross-country differences in growth forecast errors and the changes to forecasting models and procedures that have been prompted by the experience of the crisis.

  • 11-February-2014

    English

    Economic crisis provides lessons for new approaches to forecasting, says OECD

    Extreme volatility during the global financial crisis complicated economic forecasting, leading to large errors that underline the need for better modelling methods and new approaches for making and presenting projections.

    Also Available
  • 29-May-2013

    English

    Global economy advancing but pace of recovery varies, says OECD Economic Outlook

    The global economy is moving forward, but divergence between countries and regions reflects the uneven progress made toward recovery from the economic crisis, according to the OECD’s latest Economic Outlook. Historically high unemployment remains the most serious challenge facing governments.

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  • 28-March-2013

    English

    Global economy is improving but Europe lags behind, says OECD

    Global economic activity is picking up, but the continuing crisis in the euro area is delaying a meaningful recovery, the OECD said in its latest Interim Economic Assessment.

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  • 14-March-2013

    English

    Policy options to durably resolve euro area imbalances

    A simple econometric framework is presented linking current account balances of euro area countries to intra and extra euro area competitiveness, cyclical positions, fiscal positions and the oil price.

  • 6-March-2013

    English

    The price of oil – will it start rising again?

    Following a sharp drop amidst the global economic crisis and a subsequent recovery, the spot price of crude oil has been broadly stable for the past couple of years. This paper discusses the factors that drive oil demand and supply and, hence, the price of the resource.

  • 10-January-2013

    English

    Strengthening Euro Area banks

    Big changes are needed to strengthen the capital positions of euro area banks. European banks remain at the heart of the euro area crisis. Despite actions to strengthen banks and build a banking union, confidence in the euro area banking system remains weak, and is likely to remain so until underlying concerns over low capitalisation of some banks are addressed.

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