The OECD projections are conditional on a set of technical assumptions, which comprises: unchanged exchange rates, as of a given date; unchanged fiscal and monetary policies; and a projected path of oil and non-oil commodity prices.
Bibliography of the Sources & Methods of the OECD Economic Outlook.
Notes to statistical annex tables 55-63, Sources and Methods of the OECD Economic Outlook.
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Special chapter from Economic Outlook No. 84, November 2008.
The use of econometric models in OECD's forecasting process, Sources and Methods of the OECD Economic Outlook.
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To address the current issues, this chapter starts by looking at simple ways of estimating the possible impact of recent increases in real energy and capital costs on potential growth.
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This note reports empirical work to quantify the relationship between permits and housing investment.
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Since 2001, OECD corporate net lending has risen sharply. This chapter examines various facets of corporate net lending with a view to understanding some of the main forces at play behind the recent run-up.
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This chapter begins by reviewing, for a number of OECD economies, macro-economic developments in household balance sheets and incomes over the past two decades. It then examines micro-level information to provide a more recent cross-sectional snapshot of the household sector.
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Fiscal consolidation is required in most OECD countries. This chapter presents evidence on the factors that in the past were associated with successful consolidation and with the preservation of those gains.