Economic outlook, analysis and forecasts


  • OECD Economic Outlook and Interim Economic Outlook

    Weak trade growth and financial distortions are exacerbating slow global economic growth, according to the OECD’s latest Interim Economic Outlook. The global economy is projected to grow at a slower pace this year than in 2015, with only a modest uptick expected in 2017. The Outlook warns that a low-growth trap has taken root, as poor growth expectations further depress trade, investment, productivity and wages.

    Read more
  • The Economic Consequences of Brexit: A Taxing Decision

    A UK exit (Brexit) would be a major negative shock to the UK economy, with economic fallout in the rest of the OECD, particularly other European countries.

    Read more
  • Forecasting GDP during and after the Great Recession

    This paper compares the short-term forecasting performance of state-of-the-art large-scale dynamic factor models (DFMs) and the small-scale bridge models routinely used at the OECD.

    Read more