Economics Department

Economic survey of the Euro Area 2007

 

 

Contents |  Executive summary How to obtain this publication Additional info

Published on 4th January 2007. The next Economic Survey of the Euro Area will be prepared for the end of 2008.
Bookmark this page: www.oecd.org/eco/surveys/euroarea.

An Economic Survey is published every 1½-2 years for each OECD country. Read more about how Surveys are prepared. The OECD assessment and recommendations on the main economic challenges faced by the Euro Area are available by clicking on each chapter heading below.

Listen or  watch more about the Euro Area survey.

Contents                                                                                                                           

Chapter 1: Managing diversity
The euro area encompasses a diverse group of economies. Some are among the wealthiest in the world, others are behind in terms of living standards. Some are booming, others have been weathering a long slump. Some sectors are flexible and quick to adapt to changes in the global economy, others remain rule-bound and rigid. Managing such diversity is a challenge. Adopting the single currency has brought considerable benefits to the euro area’s members by ensuring macroeconomic stability, boosting trade and deepening economic integration. Despite stark divergences in economic performance, price levels in member countries are converging on average rather than diverging. However, these divergences mean that a common monetary policy will not suit all countries all the time. The members face different shocks and respond to them in diverse ways. The solution is to undertake structural reforms to make economies more flexible and resilient. These include making wages more responsive to local economic conditions, boosting employment flexibility and labour mobility, reducing the stickiness of inflation by enhancing competition, and creating an efficient, pan-European financial market. The more flexible and integrated product, labour and financial markets become, the smoother the ride inside the monetary union will be. These reforms will not only promote faster adjustment to shocks, they will help overcome the main problem that many euro area countries face: slow potential growth.

Chapter 2: Monetary policy
Inflation has been well anchored around but slightly above 2% despite large increases in energy prices. Rising energy costs are putting pressure on the prices of a wide range of goods and services but the feed-through has been muted compared with past oil shocks. The ECB has been removing monetary accommodation to address risks to price stability now that the recovery is on a surer footing. The pace of tightening has been influenced by what it sees as significant medium-term risks to price stability, although there are downside risks as well such as the possibility of a disorderly unwinding of global economic imbalances. Its risk assessment is influenced by the recent strong growth in money and credit aggregates, although there are questions about how reliable they are as guides for policy.
Monetary policy is made more difficult by wage stickiness and inflation inertia. Greater labour market flexibility and more competitive financial and product markets would help speed up the transmission of monetary policy and reduce cyclical divergences across the euro area.

Chapter 3: Putting fiscal policy back on track
Fiscal policy outcomes in the euro area are mixed: several countries are characterised by large deficits and high debt, while others have managed to keep their public finances sound. This chapter assesses the fiscal performance and takes stock of the redesigned Stability and Growth Pact (SGP). It discusses how fiscal policy can be reformed to improve outcomes. It emphasizes the urgency of seizing the opportunity that the favourable cyclical situation provides to introduce changes – starting with expenditure restraint – that would restore the sustainability of public finances, especially in high-debt countries. A key requirement for better fiscal outcomes in the euro area is that member states should embrace the EU objectives of achieving budget balance and keeping debt in check as national priorities. National medium-term fiscal frameworks and EU surveillance can play helpful roles in supporting progress in this direction. 

How to obtain this publication                                                                                      

The Policy Brief (pdf format) can be downloaded. It contains the OECD assessment and recommendations but not all of the charts included on the above pages.

The complete edition of the Economic survey of the Euro Area  2007 is available from:

Additional information                                                                                                  

 

For further information please contact the EU Desk at the OECD Economics Department at eco.survey@oecd.org.  The OECD Secretariat's report was prepared by David Rae and Boris Cournède under the supervision of Peter Hoeller.

 

 

 

 

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