Local scenarios of demographic change

A LEED project for 2011-2012

 

Policies and strategies for sustainable development, skills and employment

 

The project is conducted in collaboration with the OECD Annual Meeting of Sustainable Development Experts (AMSDE), the Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs (ELS), the Public Governance and Territorial Development Directorate (GOV) and the Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry (STI)

With the support of the European Commission DG Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion

 

Objective / Issues / Methods / Participation / Outputs / Contact

 

 

NOW AVAILABLE: Leed Working Paper on Demographic Change and Local Development: Shrinkage, Regeneration and Social Dynamics (Released March 2012)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Objective

Demographic change is affecting all OECD member countries and developing economies. Fertility rates are lowering, ageing population is increasing, youth unemployment is increasing and the complexity of urban-rural shrinkage is posing numerous challenges to job creation and sustainable development agendas. Strategic solutions cannot be based on addressing one of these factors alone but taking into account the interplay of these elements within a particular local area of development (urban or rural).

This project aims to provide strategic guidelines for governments and organisations involved in the implementation of employment and skills development programmes at the local level on how better confront demographic changes. The project will seek to outline future local development scenarios to facilitate adoption of appropriate guidelines.

 

Issues to be addressed

The project will explore the following areas:

 

Sustainable local development models and shrinkage scenarios.

 

Employment and skills development in new areas of growth (low-carbon and silver).

 

Services to the elderly and social inclusion.

 

Developing the silver economy and entrepreneurs (including social entrepreneurs, care jobs and migration implications).

 

Fertility rate policies and implications for labour markets.

 

Methods

The international study will be conducted through 3 instruments:

 

Literature review, databases analysis, and case studies appraisal conducted by the OECD Secretariat.

 

Surveys and focus groups of experts in the field of demographic change. Workshops will analyse cases within the domains of the project, and extract policy and strategic recommendations.

 

Field study visits of selected cases where demographic change is prominent and/or where innovative strategies addressing demographic change have been put in place. Comprehensive appraisal of the extent of the policies and programmes put in place by the host area will be conducted by the group of experts.

 

Participation

The study is conducted in collaboration with interested countries and the support of the European Commission. Interested countries/regions could:

  • Submit a case for analysis and participate in focus group meetings. The case will contribute to the final synthesis report.
  • Propose an international focus group workshop and study visit to be hosted by the region of their choice. The group of experts will conduct an analysis of the case and propose strategies and policies adjusted to the local context. A report for the area analysed will be prepared by the Secretariat and also will be included as a separate chapter in the final synthesis report.
  • Be a core-member of the project participating in all activities, publications and events.

The project is based on Voluntary Contributions of each participant country and the support of the European Commission.

 

Outputs

 
A synthesis report on Local Scenarios of Demographic Change, implications and strategies for Sustainable Development, Skills and Employment. The report will be published by the OECD.
 

Country cases reports as requested by participants.

 

Guidelines for Local Management of Demographic Change (small booklet).

An international conference to present the results of the project.

National conferences as requested.

Web 2.0: https://community.oecd.org/community/demographicchange

 

Events

Capacity building seminar: Strategic approaches to demographic change in Russia and Eastern Europe, Trento, Italy, 3-4 July 2012
Workshop: Policies and strategies for demographic change - Skills, employment and sustainable development, Paris, France, 20 June 2011

Workshop: Demographic change & local development - New ways of thinking, new financing mechanisms organised within the 
7th Annual Meeting of the OECD LEED Forum on Partnerships and Local Governance, Vienna, Austria, 10-11 March 2011

 

Conference: Shrinkage in Europe: causes, effects and policy strategies, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 16-17 February 2011

 Download the summary note of the OECD-LEED Workshops.

 

Contact

For further information about the project please contact Dr. Cristina Martinez-Fernandez at the OECD Secretariat.

 

Countries list

Topics list