Fourth Joint EU-OECD Workshop on Business and Consumer Opinion Surveys Brussels 2009 - papers

Session 1. Economic and social aspects of the current crisis

 

Households financial situation and the crisis: first evidence from the EU harmonised consumers survey (13 pages, pdf)

 

What do the surveys reveal about the impact of the global crisis on the South African economy? (15 pages, pdf)

 

Assessing the increase of Italian families perceived vulnerability (abstract)

 

The impact of financial crisis on consumers, results from ad-hoc questions (abstract)

 

Is there a credit crunch in Italy? Evidence on new ISAE survey data (11 pages, pdf)

 

Session 2. Response rates, data quality and availability issues

 

What impact does the response rate and weighting have on the reliability of South Africa’s retail survey? (16 pages, pdf)

 

Étude de l’impact du caractère désormais obligatoire des enquêtes de conjoncture dans l’industrie (document en français, 15 pages)

 

Bank Indonesia - consumer survey (15 pages, pdf)

 

Session 3. Issues related to survey harmonisation

 

Current status of business tendency survey and consumer survey harmonisation in non-EU OECD countries, OECD enhanced engagement economies and OECD accession countries (28 pages, pdf)

 

Experiences with the visual analog scale in the German internet business survey (abstract)

 

US - Experimental implementation of Web based consumer surveys, as well as comparisons between several modes: telephone (landline and cell), web, and mail (6 pages, pdf)

 

Session 4. Modelling seasonality and handling qualitative survey data

 

Is it necessary to seasonally adjust business and consumer confidence series? (12 pages, pdf)

 

Benchmarking seasonal adjustment softwares using Frankenstein’s series (abstract)

 

Session 5. Use of surveys for forecasting key economic variables

 

Survey of expectations in Israeli industry as a leading forecasting tool (10 pages, pdf)

 

A new survey-based indicator to track industrial production (abstract)

 

Use of Chilean business surveys in conjunctural assessment and short-term forecasting (8 pages, pdf)

 

Session 6. New survey areas and alternative survey types

 

New survey on the Italian residential housing market (28 pages, pdf)

 

Session 7. Presentations on the development of data visualisation tools

 

 

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This is a practical manual on the design and implementation of business tendency surveys, on the interpretation of the results from such surveys and on their use for economic analysis and forecasting.

Business Tendency Surveys: A Handbook

The aim of this Journal is the exchange of knowledge and information on the theory and operation of business and economic cycle research.

OECD - CIRET Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis (JBCMA)