Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, September 2011

OECD composite leading indicators signal widespread slowdown in economic activity


Download the entire news release (PDF 115 KB)

12/09/2011 - Composite leading indicators (CLIs) for July 2011, designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, continue to point to a slowdown in economic activity in most OECD countries and major non-member economies. The CLI for the OECD area fell 0.5 point in July; the fourth consecutive monthly decline.
Compared to last month’s assessment, the CLIs for Canada, France, Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom, Brazil, China and India are pointing more strongly to a slowdown in economic activity.  The CLIs for the United States and Russia are now also pointing more clearly to a slowdown in economic activity than in last month’s assessment.
The outlook for Japan continues to indicate a potential turning-point in economic activity.

Slowdown in the OECD area

Click to access underlying data

Link to underlying data - Source: OECD Composite Leading Indicators Database

 

The methodology used to compile OECD CLIs and reference series trend is described in the following document: "OECD system of Composite Leading Indicators".

For a better interpretation of OECD CLI consult the following document: Interpreting OECD Composite Leading Indicators (CLI).

 

 

>> 

Next publication date: 10 October 2011 - see 2011 calendar

 

>>

Contacts
For further information, journalists are invited to contact the OECD's Media Relations Division on (33) 1 45 24 97 00 or news.contact@oecd.org;  others should contact the Statistics Directorate on stat.contact@oecd.org.

 
 

>> 

Link to previous news releases

 
 

>>

More information on leading indicators at www.oecd.org/std/cli
 
Top of page

Visualize business cycles

with the OECD business cycle clock

Editor's Choice

This is a practical manual on the design and implementation of business tendency surveys, on the interpretation of the results from such surveys and on their use for economic analysis and forecasting.

Business Tendency Surveys: A Handbook

The aim of this Journal is the exchange of knowledge and information on the theory and operation of business and economic cycle research.

OECD - CIRET Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis (JBCMA)