OECD Environmental Outlook to 2030

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ISBN: 9789264040489

Release: 5 Mar 2008

How will economic and social developments drive environmental change to 2030? What policies are needed to address the main environmental challenges? How can OECD and non-OECD countries best work together to tackle these challenges?

The OECD Environmental Outlook to 2030 provides analyses of economic and environmental trends to 2030, and simulations of policy actions to address the key challenges. Without new policies, we risk irreversibly damaging the environment and the natural resource base needed to support economic growth and well-being. The costs of policy inaction are high.

But the Outlook shows that tackling the key environmental problems we face today -- including climate change, biodiversity loss, water scarcity and the health impacts of pollution -- is both achievable and affordable. It highlights a mix of policies that can address these challenges in a cost-effective way. The focus of this Outlook is expanded from the 2001 edition to reflect developments in both OECD countries and Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia, China, South Africa (BRIICS), and how they might better co-operate on global and local environmental problem-solving.

This book includes StatLinks, URLs which link statistical tables and graphs to Excel spreadsheets on the internet.

Highlights

The full Executive Summary or Highlights can be downloaded for free in the following languages:

English	Czech	French	German
Japanese	Korean	Norwegian (short version)	Portuguese
Spanish

Table of contents

Preface by Angel Gurría, OECD Secretary-General

Executive Summary

Introduction: Context and Methodology

THE WORLD TO 2030 – THE CONSEQUENCES OF POLICY INACTION

I. Drivers of Environmental Change

Chapter 1. Consumption, Production and Technology
Chapter 2. Population Dynamics and Demographics
Chapter 3. Economic Development
Chapter 4. Globalisation
Chapter 5. Urbanisation
Chapter 6. Key Variations to the Standard Expectation to 2030

II. Impacts of Environmental Change
Chapter 7. Climate Change
Chapter 8. Air Pollution
Chapter 9. Biodiversity
Chapter 10. Freshwater
Chapter 11. Waste and Material Flows
Chapter 12. Health and Environment
Chapter 13. Cost of Policy Inaction

POLICY RESPONSES

III. Sectoral Developments and Policies
Chapter 14. Agriculture
Chapter 15. Fisheries and Aquaculture
Chapter 16. Transport
Chapter 17. Energy
Chapter 18. Chemicals
Chapter 19. Selected Industries: Steel and cement, Pulp and paper, Tourism and Mining

IV. Putting the Policies Together
Chapter 20. Environmental Policy Packages
Chapter 21. Institutions and Approaches for Policy Implementation
Chapter 22. Global Environmental Co-operation

Annex A. Regional Environmental Implications
Annex B. Modelling Framework

How to obtain this publication

Readers can access the full version of OECD Environmental Outlook to 2030 choosing from the following options:

Subscribers and readers at subscribing institutions can access the online edition via SourceOECD, our online library.
Non-subscribers can purchase the PDF e-book and/or paper copy via our Online Bookshop.
Order from your local distributor.
Government officials with accounts (subscribe) can go to the "Books" tab on OLIS.
Access by password for accredited journalists

Press material

Press releases

Webcast

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Speeches

See also the news articles related to this publication.

Multilingual Summaries

English	Chinese	Danish	Dutch	Finnish	Greek
Hindi	Hungarian	Icelandic	Italian	Norwegian	Polish
Portuguese	Russian	Slovak	Swedish	Turkish

Additional information

Background document

Background report to the OECD Environmental Outlook to 2030; Overviews, details, and methodology of model-based analysis
This background report provides overviews and details of the model-based analyses for the Outlook. The global analyses have been conducted for 24 regions. They cover climate change; urban air pollution and related health impacts; nutrient loading to the aquatic environment by agriculture and by trends in sanitation and sewerage; terrestrial biodiversity.

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