United States - CLI Component Series & Turning Points

Component Series (Unit)

Source

Dwellings started (number)

Bureau of the Census

Net new orders for durable goods

(us dollar - million)

Bureau of the Census

Share prices: NYSE composite (2000=100)

Bureau of the Census

Consumer sentiment indicator (normal = 100)

University of Michigan

Weekly hours of work : manufacturing (hours)

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Purchasing managers index (BS) (% balance)

Institute of Supply Management

Spread of interest rates (% per annum)

Federal Reserve

 

Reference chronology of turning points

(P = Peak, T = Trough, Date = mmyy) : P0257 T0458 P0160 T0261 (P1261) (T1064) P0366 T0767 P0369 T1170 P1073 T0375 P1278 (T0780) (P0781) T1282 P0684 T0986 P0189 T0391 (P0792) (T0893) P0195 T0196 (P1197) (T1298) P0600 T1201 P0702
Minor cycles appear in brackets

 

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This is a practical manual on the design and implementation of business tendency surveys, on the interpretation of the results from such surveys and on their use for economic analysis and forecasting.

Business Tendency Surveys: A Handbook

The aim of the "OECD - CIRET Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis" is the exchange of knowledge and information on the theory and operation of business and economic cycle research, including both measurement and analytical aspects.

www.oecd.org/std/jbcma