To help efforts toward greater predictability and better assess the prospects in aid delivery ahead of time, the OECD conducts the Survey on Donors’ Forward Spending Plans, a unique instrument that brings together most bilateral and multilateral aid spending plans – and the only regular, global process of its kind.
This brief provides an overview of global aid allocations up to 2018 based on the results from the 2015 DAC Survey on Donors’ Forward Spending Plans. It highlights a decline in country programmable aid (CPA) in 2014, but with programmed increases starting in 2015. The results from the survey indicate that country-level aid to the poorest countries should recover over the next few years after several years of decline, in line with a pledge by DAC members in December 2014 to reverse the fall in aid to countries most in need.
2014 Global Outlook on Aid: Results of the 2014 DAC Survey on Donors' Spending Plans and Prospects for Improving Aid Predictability
The OECD Global Outlook on Aid is a key tool for assessing the prospects for meeting aid commitments, and for flagging potential gaps in aid provision. The 2014 report provides an overview of global aid allocations up to 2017 based on the 2014 DAC Survey on Donors’ Forward Spending Plans. It examines aid providers’ policies and procedures to provide a better understanding of the progress and obstacles in improving aid predictability. Despite the slight expected increase in aid levels over the coming years, the report signals a worrying trend of stagnation in programmed aid to heavily aid-dependent countries. It calls for efforts to improve countries’ access to external development finance to meet the needs of the post-2015 development agenda and flags the need to strengthen budget and planning practices to enable more predictable support.
The 2012 DAC report on aid predictability focuses on the outlook in aid based on the key findings from the 2012 Survey on Donors' Forward Spending Plans. It also assesses DAC members' recent efforts to increase the medium-term predictability of aid in line with commitments they have made in the Busan Partnership for Effective Development Co-operation. This report was a background document for the DAC High Level Meeting in December 2012.
Tracing country programmable aid (CPA) flows, this annual survey on donors' forward spending plans aims to reduce some of the uncertainty around aid at the global, regional and country level. The 2011 edition presents the main survey results as well as the main findings from the two pilot studies conducted in 2011 on how to further enhance the survey by collecting more disaggregated forward-looking data and increase its relevance for partner countries.
This report is a unique instrument: the only regular process at the global level that brings together most bilateral and multilateral aid spending plans 1-3 years ahead with the aim of improving global predictability of future aid flows. The 2010 edition of the Survey report provides an assessment of indicative forward programming to countries that need it the most in order to reach the MDGs by providing a first indication of the collective forward programming of bilateral and major multilateral donors’ up to 2012, mid-way to 2015.
The 2009 report presents the results of the second complete survey in the series. It identifies potential gaps, overlaps and opportunities for future aid allocations for all aid recipient countries. It is intended both for policy makers in recipient countries as a guide to overall planning of aid resources and for aid managers in donor countries and international agencies to inform their aid allocation decisions.
In late 2007 and early 2008 the DAC conducted its first full annual Survey on Aid Allocation Policies and Indicative Forward Spending Plans. The Survey report is a key stimulus to improving medium term predictability of aid. The Survey shows that most donors operate multi-year programming frameworks, allowing for predictability of aid. The analysis on existing fragmentation of aid provides essential background information to review global aid allocation decisions and to take forward action on improving division of labour between donors.