Leading Indicators and Tendency Surveys

Leading indicators provide early signals of turning points (peaks & troughs) between expansions and slow downs in economic activity. Tendency surveys provide qualitative information from business and consumers on their assessment of the current (and immediate future) economic or financial situation.

This Web site at: www.oecd.org/std/cli-ts

What's new

Composite Leading Indicators point to an easing pace of deterioration in some major economies

08-Jun-2009

While is still too early to assess whether it is a temporary or a more durable turning point, OECD composite leading indicators (CLIs) for April 2009 point to a reduced pace of deterioration in most of the OECD economies with stronger signals of a possible trough in Canada, France, Italy and the United Kingdom.

Financial crisis sees collapse in OECD consumer confidence

06-Feb-2009

Recent data on consumer confidence suggests that households are quite pessimistic on the severity of the current financial crisis, and its impact on the economy at large. Confidence indicators for OECD member countries in recent months have witnessed an almost unprecedented collapse, with some levels falling to the lowest on record.

See more news and events… Top of page

Visualize business cycles

with the OECD business cycle clock

Editor's Choice

This is a practical manual on the design and implementation of business tendency surveys, on the interpretation of the results from such surveys and on their use for economic analysis and forecasting.

Business Tendency Surveys: A Handbook

The aim of this Journal is the exchange of knowledge and information on the theory and operation of business and economic cycle research.

OECD - CIRET Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis (JBCMA)