Economic Surveys and Country Surveillance

Iceland: The foundations of Iceland’s successful fisheries management system must be preserved

21-Jun-2011

The foundations of Iceland’s successful fisheries management system are scientifically-based TACs and the ITQ system. It is important that these features are not weakened by potential policy responses to the perceived unfairness of quotas initially having been given away or EU accession negotiations.

Iceland: Further structural reforms and fiscal consolidation will make the economic recovery more durable

21-Jun-2011

Iceland is slowly recovering from a deep recession following its banking crisis. Reforms to restore the financial sector to health and fiscal consolidation are laying the foundations for durable growth but need to be taken further according to a new OECD report. 

Iceland: Making existing labour support programmes more efficient can reduce the possibility of structural unemployment

21-Jun-2011

Expenditure on activation programmes has been boosted to cope with the large increase in long-term unemployment. The government has expanded access to the education system to complete secondary education and should better align jobs skills training programmes with labour market requirements.

Iceland is slowly emerging from a deep recession following the collapse of its main banks

21-Jun-2011

Output has finally stabilised following the severe recession, but real GDP lingers 11% below its peak. Domestic demand has levelled off, but a consumption and business-led recovery is projected to lift economic growth to 3% by 2012.

Iceland: Financial sector reforms will contribute to stronger and more stable economic growth

21-Jun-2011

Financial sector restructuring has been achieved in a way that limits fiscal costs and strengthens market discipline. Prudential regulation and supervision are being reformed to overcome the shortcomings exposed by the crisis and steps are being taken to accelerate private-sector debt restructuring.

Iceland: Flexible inflation targeting is the key to controlling inflation

21-Jun-2011

The central bank favours returning to flexible inflation targeting but with an active foreign-exchange intervention policy and more co-ordination with fiscal and prudential policy. This approach should enhance inflation control but care will be needed to avoid exchange-rate losses.

Iceland: The government is implementing a demanding fiscal consolidation programme

21-Jun-2011

To restore Iceland’s public finances to a sustainable path, the government is implementing a fiscal consolidation programme agreed with the IMF that aims for a small budget surplus by 2013. Institutional reforms to strengthen fiscal discipline should be taken further by adopting fiscal rules.

India: Further reforms must ensure strong growth is long-lasting and benefits all

14-Jun-2011

The Indian economy has been catching up quickly in the past two decades, and weathered the global recession well. With further reforms, growth could reach double-digit rates.

Mexico: Macroeconomic and structural policies to further stabilise the economy

17-May-2011

Improvements in the macroeconomic policy framework prudent regulation of the financial system have contributed to reduce output volatility in Mexico. Policy improvements could help reduce output volatility further.

Fighting informality in Mexico

17-May-2011

A long-term and broad-based strategy with education at its core is needed for Mexico to reach its productivity potential and fight informality. This would include lowering the costs of formality, while enhancing its benefits and increasing the cost of non-compliance with labour and tax laws.